This post is a review of the opinions stated by Professor Hinkley, in his article “Why is Oregon Still on Lock Down? The data reveals little to no benefit, and seismic losses” (Click here to read his full article)
In my opinion, Professor Hinkley is absolutely correct, and here are my thoughts on why:
- Lockdown breeds panic. Panic breeds hypochondria and nocebo (opposite of placebo), which have an enormous impact on immunity and healthcare capacity. These factors cannot be quantified accurately, but we know they take a heavy toll. This speaks directly to Professor Hinkley’s analysis of the graphs, showing that hospital visits were already in decline, and he claims the lockdown could not of caused that. Well, the panic of a lockdown would have certainly sent more people (hypochondriacs, nocebo) to the hospital, not less, which masks the true decline of COVID19 hospitalizations. In any case, there is still a visible decline. Therefore, not only is Professor Hinkley correct IMO, but the actual decline is even greater than he points out.
- Let’s pause for a second to get one fact strait. The idea of ‘death rates’ is completely pointless propaganda, because you can never determine the actual infection rate. Most of the dramatic numbers you see have no solid foundation at all. But, for example, the average age of victims that died is very easy to determine, and you never hear it because it undermines the threat completely – the average age in Italian fatalities is 80 or 81. But try to find those numbers again, anywhere, and it is nearly impossible. Thus I certainly agree with his ideas about actual infection rates being much higher than reported, and a significant portion of our workforce is already immune. Many scientists support this view, estimating mortality rates to probably be around 0.03%
- To Professor Hinkley’s main point, the virus must certainly be on the downswing, as how could such an ‘insanely’ contagious and deadly disease have crossed the entire globe (209 countries reported thus far) so fast without infecting and killing millions along the way. It is supposedly far more contagious and more deadly than the seasonal flu, and yet, the seasonal flu has probably still killed 2 or 3 times as many people in the same span (as of 5Apr20).
- For comparison, the 1918 (H1N1 Flu) killed mostly healthy young people, ages 20-40, and under 5. And it killed often within 2 days of showing symptoms. This resulted in somewhere around 50 or 100 Million dead worldwide, with only 1/4 of today’s population, and without the aid of the air travel and crowded metropolises of today. COVID19 stands at 70,000 total deaths, which are likely exaggerated significantly, and is trending down in key areas.
- More comparisons – this flu season has probably killed about 200,000 in the same time that COVID-19 has killed 70,000. Not to mention even more deaths from TB, Malaria, etc., and if quarantine was working for anything, then all numbers should be down, which they are not. The CDC has actually increased its projections for seasonal flu deaths in the past week. Lockdowns are not working for anything. (I’m not saying that lockdowns are categorically bad or wrong, but I agree with Professor Hinkley that they are not appropriate for Oregon in this case).
- I agree that the lockdown increases risk for many reasons, and he points out how forcing family together – with the youth being likely carriers already – increases likely spreading. Keep the kids in school and the working force at work, and the elderly have far less exposure. Why? Read the next point…
- We’ve always known that this has virtually no impact on school and working age individuals. The initial ‘explosion’ of 8,000 deaths from Italy averaged age 80, with 99% having other serious ailments. Of course those numbers – 80yo & 99% completely invalidate the threat, so they are never discussed. However, those are the actual numbers, and they alone render a lockdown meaningless, which supports the author’s primary point.
- Lockdowns violate the concept of heard immunity, which they (media, gov, etc.) are certainly proponents of. Our workforce is essentially immune to COVID19, so let them keep working to spread immunity, which will eventually remove virus distribution paths and protect the more vulnerable elderly.
- Look at Japan. I was there. Chinese and Korean tourists outnumber the Japanese in many districts of Tokyo, such as Ginza. COVID19 had to be there very early on, and yet they say it is only now ‘exploding’ in Japan. 85 dead is exploding? I have been on the packed trains and stations, and the flu spreads like wildfire in Japan, but COVID19 does not? Hardly. Do you want to know why the Japanese do not notice that they have it? Well, IMHO, it is likely because of 2 factors 1) their OTC cold medicines contain Protease S enzyme, which is the most powerful agent for breaking up mucus (that I know of), and thus they will not experience the same respiratory distress; 2) Silver (Ag+) kills all viruses on contact, and silver products are in every convenience store – hand wipes, nose sprays, deodorants, eye washes, etc. Therefore I do not expect to see much of an issue in Japan, unless they simply start attributing everything to COVID19 (which of course seems likely, so forget everything I just said).
- Another thing that I think supports his conclusions – it is highly possible that our hospitals are inadvertently killing patients. This is not my opinion, but rather the opinion of a NYC doctor, and you can view his video below. I tend to agree with him – not to mention that US hospitals kill about 100,000 a year with infections, and another 100 or 200 thousand with mistakes. Now it seems we are killing them with ventilators when they really just need oxygen (and nutrition!). Keep in mind that there is actually zero treatment for any other symptom or cause of COVID-19 when you go to a hospital (some exceptions are emerging, using Vitamins D,C, etc.!). A ventilator is not a treatment… it is just intended to keep them breathing long enough to enable their body to kill the virus. But again, oxygen would work better for that. [embedyt] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k9GYTc53r2o[/embedyt]
In my opinion, it is amazing that the lockdowns and media frenzy have not caused far more deaths, as the stress greatly reduces immunity to all diseases. Not to mention that people are now getting less fresh air, less exercise, less nutrition, more economic stress, family stress, etc., etc… all of which reduce immunity further. Fear manifests itself, and in this case we can see that tangibly in many people. Again, all of these factors should be skewing the data the other way, but as Professor Hinkley pointed out, COVID19 hospitalizations are already in decline, and those are not his numbers that he made up, but rather the numbers that are publicly available.
All of this is hopefully about to change, as some hospitals are breaking rank and beginning to use Vitamin C and D, and other treatments to stop COVID19. Of course, anyone in my audience would already be aware of such solutions, but even I did not think that nutrition would ‘be allowed’ to be administered within standard care. Let’s hope that this trend continues, as there is no reason for most of these people to be dying. I have a bunch of information here for fighting COVID19, and I will be publishing more soon.
[embedyt] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FT_4ECkEzIs[/embedyt]
Stay safe. Do not let fear lower your immunity. One final thing to help you get a proper context, as I have already stated above, COVID-19 is not really a threat to our school or work age population, and here is one of my favorite graphics to illustrate this point from the ‘Italian Portal of Epidemiology for Public Health’ in their review of deaths:










Thanks Cozzetto. This was very comforting to my sis-in-law, who is a VA nurse getting ready to go back to work.
So glad to hear that! I’ll be posting more videos with other ways to strengthen and fight the disease. Not every solution fits everyone’s situation, so I will be explaining more and more options as we move forward. Thank you for your comment.